The short answer: Of the cheapest homes sold in Santa Clara County in October 2026, the lowest was a two bedroom, one bath, 789 square foot house in San Jose that went for $605,000 in a private sale that never hit the open market. The most expensive was a 2024-built home in Palo Alto that sold for $14.08 million, almost $4 million under the price it was first tested at. The homes that sold fastest at both ends were the ones priced right on day one.
Every month I pull the five cheapest and the five most expensive sales in the county, because the extremes tell you more about pricing than the median does. October 2026 was a clean lesson. The cheapest homes sold in Santa Clara County were mostly in San Jose, not Gilroy like I expected, and the top of the market split into two groups: homes that sold over asking in about a week, and homes that sat for months and sold for less.
I’m third-generation South Bay. I grew up in Almaden, went to Leland High School, and my family was here before anyone called it Silicon Valley. I go live every Thursday at 5 pm to walk through what’s selling, and this is the written version of the November 5, 2026 stream, plus two rule changes every owner should know about.
I walked through these sales on camera with the listing photos.
What were the cheapest homes sold in Santa Clara County in October 2026?
All five sold under $900,000, and most were under $800,000. For context, the county’s single-family median was about $1.9 million in September 2026, based on MLSListings data. From what I read in the listing remarks, most of these were teardowns or heavy fixers. You were buying land and a starting point, not a move-in home.
| Street (city) | Home | Sold for (Oct 2026) |
|---|---|---|
| Grass Valley Court (San Jose) | 3 bed, about 1,176 sq ft | $802,000 |
| Chestnut Street (Gilroy) | 987 sq ft on about 1.2 acres | $775,000 |
| North 26th Street (San Jose) | 2 bed, 1 bath, 972 sq ft | $725,000 ($125,000 over asking, under a week) |
| Ridge Vista Avenue (San Jose) | 1,357 sq ft | $685,000 |
| San Jose (private sale) | 2 bed, 1 bath, 789 sq ft | $605,000 |
The Gilroy sale is the one I’d study
$775,000 for under 1,000 square feet sounds like a lot until you see the lot. About 1.2 acres in Gilroy is a different kind of value than a small San Jose lot, and buyers who want land at an entry price keep ending up there.
The $605,000 house never hit the open market
The cheapest sale of the month sold privately. It was entered into the MLS afterward so buyers, sellers, and appraisers can use it as a comp. That’s more common than most people think. Some homes now trade as private listings or coming soons that circulate inside brokerages before they ever go public. If you’re buying, that means some of the best entry-level opportunities never show up on a public search. If you’re selling a fixer, it means you can test a price quietly without racking up days on market. I covered what selling a home in rough shape looks like in my guide to selling a home as-is in San Jose.
What were the most expensive homes sold in October 2026?
The top of the county was all on the Peninsula side. Four of the five were in Los Altos Hills, and the top sale was in Palo Alto.
| Street (city) | Sold for | Vs. asking | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho Manuella Lane (Los Altos Hills) | $9.6M | About $1.6M over | 8 |
| Corbetta Lane (Los Altos Hills), 5,600 sq ft on 4.7 acres | $10.98M | About $1.1M over | 13 |
| Los Altos Hills, 10,000 sq ft on 2.6 acres | $11.5M | Sold off-market | n/a |
| Old Ranch Road (Los Altos Hills) | $11.8M | About 5% under | 235 |
| Near Eleanor Pardee Park (Palo Alto), 4,257 sq ft, built 2024 | $14.08M | $1.9M under list, about $3.9M under the first test price | 75 |
The Palo Alto home sits on about a quarter acre. The sellers first tested it privately at $18 million, went live at $15.98 million, and sold at $14.08 million. The buyer used a loan, which surprised me. At this level I see all-cash purchases more often than financed ones.
Why did some homes sell over asking while others sat for months?
Price. That’s the whole pattern. The homes that came out priced right got their activity in the first week and sold over asking: 8 days and $1.6 million over in Los Altos Hills, 13 days and $1.1 million over on Corbetta Lane, under a week and $125,000 over on North 26th Street. The homes that came out high sat for 62, 75, and 235 days, and every one of them sold for less than the asking price.
Here’s what I tell sellers. Buyers want to feel like they’re getting a deal. If the price gets them through the door, they start picturing their own life in the house, where the desk goes, where they’ll host the holidays. At that point the decision gets emotional instead of purely practical, and that’s when competition shows up. If the price keeps them out, nothing else you did matters.
Getting people in the door takes three things:
- Price: slightly under where you think it should be tends to pull more buyers and more offers than slightly over.
- Exposure: real photography and video, so the listing does its job online.
- Presentation: declutter, depersonalize, and use neutral colors so every buyer who walks in can picture living there. Personal photos pull buyers out of that picture.
I’ve written more on this in 7 common mistakes home sellers make, and overpricing is still number one.
What is the Bay Area gas water heater rule, and when does it start?
The Bay Area Air District’s Rule 9-6 sets a zero-NOx standard for residential water heaters. In practice that means a gas water heater can’t be installed as a replacement once it takes effect, so most owners will switch to electric when the old one dies. On November 4, 2026, the Air District board adopted amendments that push the start date from January 2027 to January 1, 2028.
Two details matter for owners, according to the Air District’s building appliance rules page:
- The rule applies only when a water heater is replaced. It doesn’t make you replace a working unit.
- The amendments add exemptions for qualifying low-income property owners and for homes with real electrical or space constraints. The Air District’s July 2026 draft listed examples like panels under 100 amps or a need to run new electrical lines more than 50 feet.
Why I think the cost matters more than the rule
I’m not against electric appliances. I’m against the cost landing on owners without a choice. A lot of the homes I sell in San Jose, Santa Clara, and Los Altos were built around 1955. Those electrical panels were never sized for an all-electric house. Converting everything usually means a new panel and new wiring, and estimates I’ve seen for a full conversion run north of $100,000. The water heater is where it starts, not where it ends.
If you’re selling an older home, know your panel size before you list. Buyers and inspectors are asking about it now.
What does Prop 37 mean for buyers in Santa Clara County?
Prop 37 was on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, and the Associated Press called it as passing with more than 61% of the vote. Counties still have to certify the results. Per the official voter guide, it lets the state sell up to $25 billion in revenue bonds to fund a “middle-class homeownership loan” for buyers of newly built homes.
- The buyer puts at least 3% down.
- The state loan covers up to 17% of the price, so together that’s the 20% a buyer usually needs.
- Buyers must be California residents, live in the home, and have household income no more than double the area’s typical income.
- The home must be newly built, the buyer must be its first purchaser, and the price has to come in under the program limit (the ballot summary says about $1.5 million).
Most past assistance programs here were capped at incomes that almost nobody buying in Silicon Valley qualifies for. This one is aimed at middle earners, which is a better fit for our area. I’d expect it to help buyers with solid income who haven’t built up a large down payment yet. The details that matter most, like the interest rate and when loans start, haven’t been set as of November 2026. I’ll cover it again once there are real numbers.
What should owners do before winter?
Forecasters are calling for a wet El Niño winter. I’m doing these at my own house this week:
- Gutters and downspouts: clean the gutters, run a hose through the downspouts, and watch where the water goes. If it pools against the house, add a downspout extension and check that the ground slopes away. A lot of San Jose homes have raised foundations, and pooled water ends up underneath.
- Trees: get big or older trees near the house pruned now. Wet branches get heavy and saturated roots let go in wind.
- Air filter: I change mine at the fall time change and again in June.
- Smoke and carbon monoxide alarms: test them.
- Storm kit: water, food, and flashlights somewhere you can find in the dark.
- Sandbags: Valley Water offers free filled sandbags from November 1 through April 15. The Valley Water sandbag site list has locations. Go early, because sites run out during storms.
I made a full El Niño home prep walkthrough on my YouTube channel.
Buying or selling around Thanksgiving
Thanksgiving is November 26, 2026. If you’re closing that week, confirm the signing day and funding day with your lender and escrow now. A Thursday close can slide to Friday, and if Friday doesn’t work it slides to Monday. Don’t book movers for Black Friday until the dates are locked.
What I’d do right now
If I were buying: I’d take the rate out of the headline and look at the payment. If I could live with today’s payment, I’d buy now, because prices are softer than they’d be if rates were lower. When rates do drop, the buyers who are waiting all come back at once and push prices up. I’d also ask the seller for a credit to buy the rate down instead of a price cut. I walked through that math in buying a home at 7 percent. Last I checked in late October 2026, FHA rates were under 7%.
If I were selling: I’d price to get the first week right. October’s top sales showed it again. The homes priced well sold fast and over asking. The homes priced high sat and sold under.
If I owned an older home: I’d find out my electrical panel size this winter, before a water heater fails and the decision gets made for me.
For the bigger picture on what’s moving prices across the valley, read the 5 forces repricing Silicon Valley home values.
FAQ
What was the cheapest house sold in Santa Clara County in October 2026?
A two bedroom, one bath, 789 square foot house in San Jose sold for $605,000. It sold privately and was added to the MLS afterward as a comp. It looked like a teardown or a heavy fixer.
Can you still buy a house in San Jose for under $800,000?
Yes, but expect a fixer. Three of the five cheapest county sales in October 2026 were San Jose houses between $685,000 and $802,000, and most needed major work or a rebuild. Townhomes and condos are the more common way in at that price.
What is a private or off-market listing?
It’s a home marketed inside a brokerage or a small network of agents before, or instead of, going on the open market. Sellers use it to test a price without building days on market. Buyers only see these homes if their agent is plugged into that network.
Do I have to replace my gas water heater in 2028?
No. The Bay Area rule applies when you replace a water heater, starting January 1, 2028. It doesn’t require replacing a working unit, and the November 2026 amendments add exemptions for some low-income owners and homes with electrical or space limits.
Does Prop 37 work for resale homes?
No. Based on the official voter guide, the loan is only for newly built homes where you’re the first buyer, and the price has to come in under the program limit. Resale homes don’t qualify.
Why do some luxury homes sell millions under asking?
Because they were priced above what buyers would pay and sat. In October 2026 the Palo Alto top sale went live at $15.98 million and sold at $14.08 million after 75 days. Meanwhile the Los Altos Hills homes priced right sold in 8 to 13 days, over asking.
Where can I get free sandbags in Santa Clara County?
Valley Water runs free sandbag sites from November 1 through April 15, including one in San Jose at the City Central Service Yard on Senter Road. Check their site list before you go, and go early during storms.
Want to see homes before they hit the open market?
Text me at 408-504-0385. I’ll tell you about private listings and coming soons that fit what you’re looking for. If you’re selling, I’ll tell you how we can quietly test a price on your home without racking up days on market.
Keep reading
- Buying a Home at 7 Percent? Here’s What I’d Do: why a rate buydown can beat a price cut.
- Silicon Valley Home Values: 5 Forces Repricing the Market: inventory, insurance, and layoffs.
- South San Jose Home Values: 6 Changes Most Owners Haven’t Noticed: SB 79, BART, and the land under your house.
- 7 Common Mistakes Home Sellers Make: pricing, prep, and presentation.
Sales figures are from MLS data I presented in my November 5, 2026 livestream, covering October 2026 closings, and are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. County median from MLSListings data for September 2026. Street names only, no house numbers. This is general information, not legal or tax advice. Rules and ballot measures can change, so check the official sources linked above.
Michael Rulfs, REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Realty | DRE #01832571. Third-generation South Bay. Born here, raised here, still here. 408-504-0385 · michael.rulfs@CBRealty.com